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Library Dynamic systems approach assess and manage water resources in river basins

Dynamic systems approach assess and manage water resources in river basins

Dynamic systems approach assess and manage water resources in river basins

Resource information

Date of publication
december 2009
Resource Language
ISBN / Resource ID
LaReferencia:BR_7cd7cfdba6522ed01b46a1522fb081e7

The Piracicaba, Capivari and Jundiaí River Basins (RB-PCJ) are located in the States of Minas Gerais and São Paulo, Brazil. By 2005, 5.8% of Brazil's General National Product-GNP was produced there. Such economic development has created a huge demand for water resources. The availability of water resources was assessed by running a dynamic systems simulation model to manage these resources in the RB-PCJ (WRM-PCJ), considering five 50-year simulations. WRM-PCJ was developed as a tool to aid the RB-PCJ Watershed Committee. The model computes water supply, demands, and contamination load from several consumers. When considering a Business-as-Usual scenario, by 2054, water demands will have increased up to 76%, 39% of the available water will come from wastewater reuse, and the contamination load will have increased by 91%. The Falkenmark Index started at 1403 m³ person-1 year-1 in 2004, ending at 734 m³ P-1 yr-1 in 2054; the Xu Sustainability Index started at 0.44 and ended at 0.20; and Keller's River Basin Development Phases started as Phase II, and ended at final Phase III, of Augmentation. The three criteria used to evaluate water resources showed that RB-PCJ is at a crucial management turning point. The WRM-PCJ performed well, and proved to be an excellent tool to assess water resources availability.

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Authors and Publishers

Author(s), editor(s), contributor(s)

SÁNCHEZ-ROMÁN, Rodrigo Máximo
FOLEGATTI, Marcos Vinicius
ORELLANA GONZÁLEZ, Alba María Guadalupe
SILVA, Rogério Teixeira da

Data Provider
Geographical focus